Calamity
MediumSevere WeatherCalamity Score: 34

Severe Weather near Dover

KentUnited StatesNOAA

Right now

The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 28 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.

Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.

This alert expired on 27 May 2026 at 17:00 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

It is the 109th strongest of the 190 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 11 March 2026. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 2 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Special Marine Warning issued May 27 at 12:33PM EDT until May 27 at 1:00PM EDT by NWS Mount Holly NJ

An estimated 39,403 people live within 50 km of this point.

Nearby, since 11 March 2026

How we know

One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.

Our own score for this event is 34 out of 100, at 79 % confidence.

The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.

Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeSevere Weather
SeverityMedium
Calamity Score (ours)34 / 100
Our confidence79%
Coordinates38.9125, -75.5203
Nearest CityDover (28 km)
Population Exposed39.4K within 50 km
Impact Tiersignificant
Timestamp2026-05-27T16:33:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Special Marine Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.30cbbfaf3e02db56357a826086843812

Score Breakdown

35
intensity
40
population
0
cascading
80
historical

Technical Details

EventSpecial Marine Warning
UrgencyImmediate
CertaintyLikely
AreaDescDelaware Bay waters north of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE; Delaware Bay waters south of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE; Coastal waters from Great Egg Inlet to Cape May NJ out 20 NM; Tidal Potomac from Indian Head to Cobb Island MD; Tidal Potomac from Cobb Island MD to Smith Point VA; Delaware Bay waters north of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE; Delaware Bay waters south of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE; Coastal waters from Manasquan Inlet to Little Egg Inlet NJ out 20 NM; Coastal waters from Little Egg Inlet to Great Egg Inlet NJ out 20 NM; Coastal waters from Great Egg Inlet to Cape May NJ out 20 NM; Waters from Manasquan Inlet NJ to Little Egg Inlet NJ from 20 to 60 NM; Waters from Little Egg Inlet NJ to Great Egg Inlet NJ from 20 to 60 NM; Waters from Great Egg Inlet NJ to Cape May NJ from 20 to 60 NM
HeadlineSpecial Marine Warning issued May 27 at 12:33PM EDT until May 27 at 1:00PM EDT by NWS Mount Holly NJ
Expires2026-05-27T13:00:00-04:00
SenderNameNWS Mount Holly NJ
HasExactCoordstrue
MergedCount3
MergedIds["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.30cbbfaf3e02db56357a826086843812fa09b730.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.f0a368d2d11789201423b9e0b246e11c23b1a141.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.e7f9917d3e846e5ddf9f690eec444322254e7fb4.001.1"]

Safety Information

Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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